Category Archives: Investing

Investing in the Long Term

Recently, I’ve been thinking about retirement – what it will mean and how I’ll manage. Retirement planning, in a sense, has been on my mind since I joined the workforce. And while it hasn’t always been possible to invest, I’ve tried when I could. I have a pension and can also expect social security, and have done what I could to maximize those benefits.

But it has also occurred to me that beyond managing my pension and social security, I should consider other things, such as whether I might one day need some sort of long-term care. It’s important to save money and budget planned and unplanned expenses, but all that planning would be meaningless if my nest- egg were to disappear in the event of illness – or let’s face it – plain old age.

Based on the statistics, it seems like a good idea to invest in a long-term care insurance policy. However, I want to be clear that insurance is not an investment, per se. Insurance is protecting yourself against an uncertain future, while investments are intended to appreciate and give you a return on your initial sum.

Protection Against the Future

Long-term care insurance qualifies as a protection against your future, and in that sense, it is an investment - and one that should be made wisely. It’s important to understand that long-term care insurance is too expensive to purchase when you need it most – that is when you’re older and your health is deteriorating. Also, some plans will disqualify you if you have a preexisting condition.

Plan Early, Benefit Later

Long-term care insurance is affordable and will be there when you need – if you think ahead and look into your options early. You should realistically assess all of your assets and income, and know beforehand whether you have family members who could potentially support financially, if necessary. Consider that usually you will have the option of lowering your amount of coverage if you plan early in life, but it can be increasingly difficult to raise coverage as you age and your health declines.

What to Consider When buying Long-Term Care Insurance

Make sure you fully grasp the limitations of the policy you are considering. Depending on the type of policy you choose, certain items may not be covered. It is important to ensure that you have planned for possible expenses that fall outside coverage, such as medical supplies, medications, and linens.

Aside from health and age, external factors can lower the cost of LTCi. Location will affect cost, so if maintain a proximity to family and friends, it is important be sure to understand the cost of care in your area. Additionally, you can see if your state offers a Partnership Program, a collaborative effort between the state and private insurance companies selling policies in that state and to state residents. A partnership qualified policy provides the purchaser with the ability to apply for Medicaid under a feature called “asset disregard.”

Consider your options with your family and then talk with a professional before making a decision. And remember, don’t buy out of fear and don’t buy when you are highly emotional; this decision merits a steady head and the ability to plan for contingencies.

Taking The Investing Leap in 2012

Toward the end of 2011, I started planning my investments for 2012. Instead of investing over a long period of time, I let my money sit in my savings account because I didn’t want to pay taxes on my earnings. I was planning too much and not taking enough action.

My plan was to wait until 2012, and then invest the money in a Roth 401(k) (details about that coming in a future post) through my LLC. I was sitting on cash because I hadn’t been willing to invest it, and it was finally time to cash in.

The only problem, was that I wouldn’t exactly be liquidating my savings account, at least not for the long-term. Sure, the balance would drop, but I’m going to be replenishing it in 2012, and soon I’d be sitting on another pile of cash with no real plan.

I wanted to do all my investing in a Roth IRA, but the truth is that with $5,000 limits (and income limits that can prevent you from investing in a Roth IRA), I was going to have to join the rest of America and invest in a taxable account.

So I had to adjust my plan. There’s no day like today to start investing, so now I’m taking the plunge. And since I plan on making money from my day job and my side hustles in 2012, I’ll be using that money for the Roth 401(k). I won’t be able to make one lump deposit, but I will be smarter this year and invest every month (or quarter) so that I don’t end 2012 with cash that could have been making me money the entire year.

I believe that stocks will do really well in the long term and I want my money invested when the market skyrockets. However, that’s impossible if I sit on my cash and wait for the perfect investing conditions. Most of the time, doing something is far better than doing nothing. I finally took the leap, and I promise to be better in the future!

Readers, how dumb am I for waiting until 2012 to invest? Is it hard to part with the money in your bank and invest it?

What March Madness Has In Common With Choosing Investments

It’s finally here – the least productive week on the employment calendar: the start of March Madness. 2011 estimates suggest American workers lost 8.4 million hours of productivity– costing their employers nearly $200 million dollars – leading up to the start of the annual NCAA men’s basketball tournament.

As I started filling out my brackets this year, I started thinking about just how similar choosing the four teams I think will make it to the Final Four is to choosing investments that will make you a winner.

Avoid The Trendy Pick

When the University of Cincinnati knocked off Syracuse in the Big East Tournament, the Bearcats suddenly became a trendy pick to make it into the second weekend of the NCAA tournament. They had the size; they had the speed; they had the swagger. But before you pencil in the other team from the Buckeye State to make it to the Sweet Sixteen, consider their resume:

* 24-10 season record

* Finished 5th in the Big East regular season

* Ranked 42 in RPI

Sure, the Bearcats are a trendy pick to advance far into the tournament – after all, they beat one of the top two teams in the country on a neutral floor. Their resume, however, shows their weaknesses: this team couldn’t even crack the top four in their own conference’s regular season standings. Could they really be one of the top 16 teams in the entire country?

When it comes to stock picks, you’ve got to avoid the trendy choices too. Maybe the company had a great fourth quarter, making it look like a tantalizing option. But how did they fare in the first nine months of the year? Just because the stock suddenly started to surge doesn’t mean the company has the management, infrastructure, or marketing to sustain that momentum.

Look For Stability At The Top

What do Duke, Syracuse, and Michigan State have in common? Three coaches who have made long-term commitments to their institutions (that’s Mike Krzyzewski, Jim Boeheim, and Tom Izzo for the basketball-illiterate among us). The result? These three teams nabbed three of the top eight seeds in this year’s field, making any of them solid choices when filling out your bracket.

It’s crucial to look for proven leaders with a strong track record when selecting stock. Especially in today’s economy, when company chairmen are hiring and firing CEOs and presidents at will in hopes of boosting their Wall Street standing, a leader with longevity – who has shown his commitment to the company by staying through the ups and downs, while introducing innovative new products and practices to keep the company at the top of its game, is vital for your portfolio.

Beware The One-And-Dones

Two of the past three years, the Kentucky Wildcats out of the SEC (and by SEC, I mean Southeastern Conference, not the Securities & Exchange Commission) have secured a number one seed in the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. However, the Wildcats failed to reach the Final Four as a top seed in 2010 – and I think they’ll fall short once again this season.

Why? I point to John Calipari, the Kentucky coach. He’s a tremendous coach, having previously succeeded at both Memphis and UMass, but he’s an even better recruiter. And that’s the problem.

Each year, Calipari brings in a star-studded class of what NCAA basketball analyst Dick Vitale would call “diaper dandies.” These players stride on to campus in the fall, rock the college basketball universe, but – at least in Kentucky’s case – depart for the greener (think money) pastures of the NBA after a single season.

Just as you want to look for a company with longevity at the top, you want to beware of companies with executives who jump around, never staying in the same place for more than a year or two. Just like Kentucky’s star freshman Anthony Davis, they probably have an outstanding resume – after all, they made it to the top of their trade. But just how much can you learn about a company – its product, its culture – in a few years, let alone a single year?

Look For Teams That Make Their Free Throws

In basketball, and in business, it’s important to do the simple things well. That’s why if a team struggles to make its free throws – like UNLV who, despite knocking off UNC early in the season, makes just two-thirds of its free throw attempts – I have a hard time advancing them in my tournament bracket.

Same goes for choosing investments – and, just as importantly, an investment advisor. When I’m interviewing potential financial advisers, I’m looking for someone who does well at the easy things: solid, prolonged gains; diversified holdings; someone who holds all the right certifications and licenses.

Picture this scenario: it’s the end of the game, and the team you’ve chosen to move on to the next round of the tournament is down by one and going to the line for a crucial one-and-one. Would you rather have a player from Ohio State (with a team free throw average of 69%) or Missouri (with a team average of 76%) taking those foul shots? If they can’t accomplish even the most basic facets of the game, they have no part in my bracket – or my financial future.

Pick Teams That Pay You Dividends

At the end of the tournament, just one team will be able to hoist the championship trophy. But over the course of the year, your team may pay you any number of “dividends” for the investment of your time and passion. Maybe your team won its regular season conference title, or maybe it won its conference tournament. Maybe your team beat your biggest rival. Whatever the case, even though you didn’t win the grand-daddy of them all, you still got enough return on your investment to make you feel like a winner.

That’s why I like to pick stocks that pay dividends. The money I make off a dividend payment may not be enough on which to retire, but it’s a building block for bigger things. Like a team that wins its regular season conference title, but fails to advance past the round of 32, it gives the team motivation to do even more the next season.

Readers, which teams are you planning on taking all the way to the “bank” this March?

How to Earn Superior Returns with Lending Club

Being average is not that impressive. To be better than average is always an admirable goal, and as a Lending Club borrower, there are some easy steps we can take to get the high returns we’re looking for.

The average default rate on lending club loans varies by grade (A-G, As have low interest rates but low default rates while Gs have 20%+ interest rates along with higher default rates). Lending Club boasts an annualized default rate of less than 3% across all loans.

Defaults reduce your returns significantly, so a large part of selecting loans is trying to determine which loans are least likely to default. While high interest loans are great, if a loan defaults, you probably only get back a fraction of the amount of money that you originally lent. If you spread this logic across all loans, you’ll see why reducing the default rate in your portfolio is so important.

For example, the average interest rate for E-rated loans is 17.36%, while the default rate is about 7.3% over the life of a loan. Defaults don’t mean you receive no money at all, just that after a certain period of time, the borrower stops making payments. Therefore, the average person who invests only in E-rated loans can expect to receive a return of 11.88%.

The goal is to select notes that I think have a lower than average chance of defaulting. That way, the loans would achieve a higher than average interest rate, and when you’re talking about higher than an 11.88% average, you’re doing pretty well.

By simply weeding out the lower quality loans, I’m trying to leave myself with the high quality stuff and a superior return. I decided to try lending club with a Roth IRA recently, and I am aiming to return greater than 13%, which is fantastic when compared the the stock market and especially to other investments during this recession.

If I see loans that has warning signs (we’ll get into that in next week’s post, but one example is a borrower who says they’re “hoping” that they will be able to pay back on time each month), I stay away. I try and predict whether that person will be likely to default and if I see anything that makes me think they are more likely to not be able to make payments, then I will pass and move on to what I believe are more worthy borrowers.

However, I think that it is a very reasonable goal because it’s based on past lending performance (which should be much less volatile overall than the stock market), and the statistics back up my theories. Only time will tell how well I do, but several other bloggers have achieved 13%+ returns and my brother, who has been investing for awhile now, has seen great results and even a few defaults wouldn’t lower his existing returns too much.

Next week, I’ll go into detail on how I select my loans and what criteria I use to weed out the low quality loans. We’ll be tracking my progress each month, so we’ll get a feel for how this strategy works, what trends I see, any advice I have going forward.